Monday, September 14, 2009

“Yes, the Housing Market has Rarely Looked Better.”


That was the headline in a September 2 Wall Street Journal article. This was a really interesting piece which looked at numbers from Standard & Poor’s and NAR. The following is an excerpt from the article:
“Last week, Standard & Poor's reported that its S&P/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price index of real-estate values increased this past quarter over the first quarter of 2009, the first quarter-on-quarter increase in three years. Its index of 20 major cities also rose for the three months ended June 30 over the three months ended May 31, with only hard-hit Detroit and Las Vegas experiencing declines. The week before that, the National Association of Realtors reported that sales volume of existing homes was up 7.2% in July from June.
In short, the data suggest that real-estate prices hit a bottom some time during the second quarter, and have now begun to rise. There's no way to be certain that this marks the end of the long, painful correction that followed the real-estate bubble, but clearly prices are no longer in free-fall. That means if you've been sitting on the fence, it's time to act.
Ordinarily I'd never try to time the real-estate market, but I can understand why buyers have been cautious. Few want to buy in down markets, just as stock buyers avoid bear markets. And for most people, of course, buying a house is a much bigger decision than buying a stock. But with real-estate prices nationally now down about 30% from their 2006 peak and showing signs of turning up, the prices aren't likely to go much lower. Every real-estate market is local, and so there may be a few exceptions. Overall, though, I can't imagine a better time to buy than now.”
It's nice to hear someone from the media say that it’s a great time to buy.
For a local look at our past two weeks in real estate: Our Cupertino office reports that agents are working hard, but things seem a bit quieter. It is really tough holding some of these short sale and REO transactions together, and inventory in many areas is surprisingly low.

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